Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004639 0.004889 0.005146 0.005430 0.005736 0.006056 0.006417
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004260 0.004638 0.005044 0.005515 0.006048 0.006635 0.007333
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003975 0.004423 0.004918 0.005510 0.006204 0.006997 0.007979
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003738 0.004228 0.004784 0.005466 0.006287 0.007254 0.008493
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003511 0.004026 0.004620 0.005364 0.006281 0.007388 0.008847
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003328 0.003861 0.004485 0.005282 0.006285 0.007523 0.009199
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003214 0.003769 0.004431 0.005291 0.006394 0.007788 0.009724
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003016 0.003566 0.004229 0.005101 0.006237 0.007696 0.009763
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002934 0.003501 0.004194 0.005119 0.006345 0.007951 0.010282
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002913 0.003510 0.004251 0.005255 0.006612 0.008429 0.011136
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002807 0.003407 0.004158 0.005189 0.006602 0.008525 0.011448
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002727 0.003334 0.004102 0.005167 0.006648 0.008699 0.011879
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002634 0.003242 0.004018 0.005107 0.006641 0.008800 0.012215
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002600 0.003226 0.004034 0.005184 0.006832 0.009195 0.013027
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002538 0.003170 0.003994 0.005180 0.006902 0.009415 0.013577
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002467 0.003099 0.003930 0.005139 0.006917 0.009550 0.013997
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002380 0.003005 0.003832 0.005045 0.006847 0.009550 0.014192
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002306 0.002924 0.003749 0.004970 0.006802 0.009585 0.014443
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002263 0.002887 0.003725 0.004978 0.006881 0.009818 0.015050
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002162 0.002765 0.003580 0.004803 0.006673 0.009580 0.014814
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002128 0.002737 0.003565 0.004819 0.006761 0.009825 0.015453
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002131 0.002759 0.003621 0.004945 0.007024 0.010370 0.016678
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002076 0.002697 0.003557 0.004884 0.006989 0.010413 0.016971